Forty-five economists surveyed by the NABE expect inflation-adjusted GDP growth to accelerate slightly in the second half of the year. They said business spending will rise strongly, housing starts will increase, unemployment will decline and consumer spending will remain subdued.

Economic growth is not expected to be strong enough to make much of a dent in the unemployment rate, which the NABE forecasters expect to average 8.3 percent this year before dropping to 7.8 percent next year. NABE economists see consumer spending rising just 2.1 percent this year and 2.3 percent next year, a rate below the historical average of 2.8 percent.
US Economists Expect 2.4 Percent Growth in 2012 | Journal of Commerce